Implied Volatility in Practice
What is Implied Volatility (IV)?
Implied Volatility (IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β) β the market's expectation of how much the price will move over a given period. It is not a forecast of direction. It is only a measure of the size of the move.
A simple analogy: ocean waves
Picture the ocean. IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β shows how big the waves are expected to be. High IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β = storm, big waves. Low IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β = calm sea, small waves. Insurance against storms (a PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β option) costs more when a storm is forecast. So the best time to buy protection is while the sea is calm.
IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β is measured in percent:
| IV | What it means annually | What it means monthly |
|---|---|---|
| 20% | Price will move ~20% | ~5.8% per month |
| 50% | Price will move ~50% | ~14.4% per month |
| 74% | Price will move ~74% | ~21.4% per month |
| 120% | Price will move ~120% | ~34.6% per month |
SOL IV is typically 70-80%. That means the market expects roughly 20-23% of price movement per month. Our example position's Long PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β ($90 strike) was bought right in that zone β at 74%.
Why are crypto options more expensive than stock options?
Because crypto moves around a lot more:
| Asset | Volatility (IV) | Put price | Insurance cost % |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ~15% | ~1.0% of price | Cheap |
| Apple stock | ~25% | ~2.5% of price | Reasonable |
| SOL | ~74% | ~7.4% of price | Expensive |
| BTC | ~55% | ~5.0% of price | Moderate |
SOLSOLSolana's native token. Used to pay gas and as collateral.Read the lesson β protection is ~3x more expensive than Apple stock protection. This is exactly why we need Put SpreadPut SpreadLong put + short put. Cheaper protection than a plain put, but with limited coverage.Read the lesson β and Covered CallCovered CallAn options strategy: sell a call option while holding the underlying asset. Generates premium income but caps upside.Read the lesson β β to bring the cost down.
IV Crush β what is it?
IV Crush β a sudden drop in volatility after a major event.
Before the event: nobody knows what will happen. Uncertainty is high. IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β is high. OptionsOptionA financial contract that grants the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell at a set price.Read the lesson β are expensive. After the event: everything is clear. IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β drops. OptionsOptionA financial contract that grants the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell at a set price.Read the lesson β get cheaper.
| Stage | IV | Put price |
|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks before the news | 85% | $8.20 |
| 1 day before | 95% | $9.50 |
| After the news | 65% | $5.80 |
| 1 week after | 70% | $6.30 |
What this means for you:
- If you bought before β the option's price drops, even if the SOLSOLSolana's native token. Used to pay gas and as collateral.Read the lesson β price didn't change
- If you sold before β you profit from the drop in IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β
IV Crush and our strategy
Our position has mixed vega: Long PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β (positive vega) + Short PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β + Short CallCallAn option type that grants the right to BUY at the strike price. The opposite of a put.Read the lesson β (negative vega). The short legs offset part of that vega, but not all of it: the $90 PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β we're long is almost ATMATMAt The Money β an option whose strike sits at the current price.Read the lesson β, where vega per unit is largest, while the legs we're short ($65, $60, $160) sit far OTMOTMOut of The Money β an option with no intrinsic value, only time value.Read the lesson β, where vega is smaller. So the net position stays net long vega: falling IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β lowers its paper value, rising IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β raises it. That's neither an advantage nor a drawback β just a size worth knowing before buying protection during a period of high IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β.
When is the best time to buy protection?
The rule is simple: buy when it's calm. Don't buy during panic.
| SOL IV level | Market mood | What it means for insurance cost |
|---|---|---|
| < 55% | Very calm (rare for SOLSOLSolana's native token. Used to pay gas and as collateral.Read the lesson β) | Cheapest time to insure |
| 55-70% | Calmer than usual | Insurance cheaper than average |
| 70-80% | SOLSOLSolana's native token. Used to pay gas and as collateral.Read the lesson β's usual level | Price close to normal (our example β 74%) |
| 80-100% | Elevated stress | Insurance is expensive |
| > 100% | Panic | Most expensive β you pay double for the same strike |
What this looks like during a roll: if the PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β roll timing coincides with high IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β:
- The old PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β sells for more (high IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β also lifts its remaining value)
- After waiting a few days for IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β to drop, the new PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β costs less
- But between these two steps, the portfolio is left without protection
Waiting without protection is risky. If IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β is high because of a real crisis, the price can keep falling. Never go more than 3-5 days without PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β protection.
DVOL β crypto's "fear index"
Traditional markets have VIX (the S&P 500 fear index β it measures stock market volatility). In crypto, Deribit has DVOL (the DeribitDeribitA crypto options exchange. In our strategy this is where we buy put protection and sell covered calls.Read the lesson β VolatilityVolatilityThe degree of price fluctuation. High volatility means greater uncertainty about price movement.Read the lesson β index β crypto's equivalent):
| Index | What it measures | Calm | Stress | Panic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | S&P 500 volatility | 12-30 | 30-50 | > 50 |
| DVOL (BTC) | Bitcoin volatility | 40-60 | 60-90 | > 90 |
| SOLSOLSolana's native token. Used to pay gas and as collateral.Read the lesson β IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β | SolanaSolanaA fast blockchain (under 1s, gas under $0.01). Home to the Kamino, Orca and Meteora ecosystem.Read the lesson β volatility | 55-80 | 80-100 | > 100 |
IV across different time horizons
IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β differs depending on the option's duration:
| Duration | SOL IV | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 7 days | 75-95% | Short-term β very sensitive to news |
| 30 days | 70-82% | The most common horizon (usually what people mean by "SOLSOLSolana's native token. Used to pay gas and as collateral.Read the lesson β IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β") |
| 90 days | 70-78% | Close to our zone |
| 120 days | 68-76% | Our strategy's zone β this is where our 74% sits |
| 180 days | 65-74% | Lowest IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β |
We use 120 days β the sweet spot where IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β is already more normal, but there's still enough liquidity.
IV and the cost of protection
Our Put SpreadPut SpreadLong put + short put. Cheaper protection than a plain put, but with limited coverage.Read the lesson β's cost depends directly on IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β:
The price table below is per unit, while the net is calculated with our actual quantities: Long PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β Γ200, Short PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β Γ100 and Γ100.
| IV level | Long Put $90 (Γ200) | Short Put $65 (Γ100) | Short Put $60 (Γ100) | Net spread cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | -$3.30 | +$2.60 | +$1.60 | -$240 |
| 70% | -$5.90 | +$4.60 | +$2.75 | -$445 |
| 74% | -$6.50 | +$5.00 | +$3.00 | -$500 |
| 90% | -$9.70 | +$7.30 | +$5.00 | -$710 |
At 74% this is exactly our example position: -$6.50 Γ 200 + $5.00 Γ 100 + $3.00 Γ 100 = -$1,300 + $500 + $300 = -$500.
What the table shows: the higher the IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β, the more expensive the net Put SpreadPut SpreadLong put + short put. Cheaper protection than a plain put, but with limited coverage.Read the lesson β. That's because the $90 PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β we're long (almost ATMATMAt The Money β an option whose strike sits at the current price.Read the lesson β) reacts more strongly to IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β than the $65 and $60 PutsPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β we're short (far OTMOTMOut of The Money β an option with no intrinsic value, only time value.Read the lesson β). Short PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β premium grows, but it doesn't offset the pricier Long PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β leg. High IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β doesn't make protection free β it makes it more expensive.
Once you understand IVIVImplied Volatility β the volatility the market expects. SOL IV is roughly 70-80%.Read the lesson β, you can see for yourself when protection is cheap and when it's overheated β and pick your timing to buy the way experienced traders do.
Module summary
What we've covered in this module so far:
- Option anatomy β CallCallAn option type that grants the right to BUY at the strike price. The opposite of a put.Read the lesson β/PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β, strike, expiry, premium
- Moneyness zones β ITMITMIn The Money β an option that has intrinsic value.Read the lesson β/ATMATMAt The Money β an option whose strike sits at the current price.Read the lesson β/OTMOTMOut of The Money β an option with no intrinsic value, only time value.Read the lesson β, intrinsic vs. time value
- The Greeks β DeltaDeltaAn option's price sensitivity to the underlying price. Delta 0.50 means: if the underlying rises $1, the option price rises about $0.50.Read the lesson β, ThetaThetaAn option's change in value from the passage of time. Negative for the buyer (a cost), positive for the seller (income).Read the lesson β, GammaGammaThe rate of change of delta. High gamma means delta shifts quickly as the price moves.Read the lesson β, VegaVegaAn option's sensitivity to volatility (IV). High vega means the option price depends heavily on IV.Read the lesson β
- Deribit β where and how to trade options
- Protective Put β portfolio protection
- Put Spread β cheaper protection
- Covered Call β income from selling
- Managing the cycle β the 120-day cycle, PutPutAn option type that grants the right to SELL at a set price. Used as insurance.Read the lesson β rolls
- Implied Volatility β how volatility affects prices
Two lessons remain in this module: 10. Payoff Diagrams and 11. Collar.
Next: PayoffPayoffA profit-and-loss profile plotted against price (a diagram).Read the lesson β diagrams β how to see a position's floor, ceiling, and breakeven point in a single chart.
IV is the market's mood thermometer. This paper exercise (~15 min) will teach you to read it in a live market. No trading β just observation.
We're learning to read IV and DVOL, NOT to trade. DON'T BUY ANYTHING β the decision about timing stays on paper only.
This is learning, not investing β use only small amounts you treat as tuition.
You just read live IV yourself, compared short and long expiry, and evaluated DVOL β a skill most crypto holders never pick up.